What Is Monetary Policy and Why It Matters?

Understand how central banks like the Federal Reserve and ECB control money supply, interest rates, and liquidity to manage inflation, growth, and currency stability.

Monetary Policy Guide - Amanah Stocks & Commodities

What Is Monetary Policy?

Monetary policy is the process by which a country's central bank (like the Federal Reserve in the U.S. or State Bank of Pakistan) controls money supply, interest rates, and liquidity to:

  • πŸ“‰ Control inflation
  • πŸ“ˆ Support economic growth
  • πŸ’΅ Stabilize the currency
  • πŸ“Š Maintain employment and price stability

🏦 Who Makes Monetary Policy?

Country Central Bank
πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ USA Federal Reserve (Fed)
πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί Eurozone European Central Bank (ECB)
πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ UK Bank of England (BoE)
πŸ‡΅πŸ‡° Pakistan State Bank of Pakistan (SBP)
πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅ Japan Bank of Japan (BoJ)

πŸ”§ Types of Monetary Policy

🟒 1. Expansionary Policy

Used during: Recession or slow growth

Goal: Stimulate economy

Tools Used:

  • Lower interest rates
  • Buy government bonds (Quantitative Easing)
  • Increase money supply

Effects:

  • βœ… Boosts spending & investment
  • βœ… Weakens currency (good for exports)
  • ❌ May increase inflation

πŸ”΄ 2. Contractionary Policy

Used when: Inflation is too high

Goal: Slow down the economy to cool prices

Tools Used:

  • Raise interest rates
  • Sell government bonds
  • Reduce money supply

Effects:

  • βœ… Reduces inflation
  • ❌ Slows growth and borrowing
  • ❌ May strengthen currency (hurts exports)

πŸ“¦ Tools of Monetary Policy

Tool What It Does
Interest Rate Raising or lowering the policy rate affects loans, mortgages, and investment
Open Market Operations Buying/selling government securities to control liquidity
Reserve Requirement % of deposits banks must hold β€” higher = less lending
Discount Rate Rate at which banks borrow from the central bank
Forward Guidance Signals from central bank about future policy direction

πŸ“ˆ Why It Matters in Trading

  • πŸ“‰ Rate cuts = markets go up (stimulus)
  • πŸ“ˆ Rate hikes = markets fall (tightening)
  • πŸ’΅ Currency weakens with lower rates
  • 🏦 Central bank speeches (like Fed Chair Powell) can move markets instantly

🌍 Real-World Examples

Scenario Policy Used Outcome
2008 Financial Crisis Expansionary Fed cut rates to 0%, QE to stimulate economy
2022-2023 Inflation Contractionary Central banks raised rates to fight inflation
COVID-19 Lockdowns Massive stimulus Global central banks cut rates & printed money

🧠 Summary

Goal Action
Boost Growth Lower Rates, Print Money
Fight Inflation Raise Rates, Reduce Money